Sunday, January 25, 2009

Out to Lunch?

Now, heres the deal, don’t get upset because you think Baltimore is out of the storm now. We’re not, the 12z GFS solution is out to lunch in my opinion because it misplaced the highs. Believe it or not, the 12z has been the most inconsistent run of the GFS lately. As a matter of fact, it had a northern warmer solution yesterday only to have the 18z and 00z along with this mornings 06z looking south and good for us. Point is, I stay in a STAGE 4 ALERT and an EXTENDED SCHOOL CLOSING WATCH for the area from Tuesday on and there may be another storm at end of the week. I am issuing a STAGE 1 ALERT for that meaning conditions are favorable and a storm is likely. Details will need to be cleared up.
In the meanwhile, a SIGNIFICANT to MAJOR winter storm could be in the cards for later this week as the 12z GFS has no support and I can bet its ensembles will be south.

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