Showing posts with label Thoughts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Thoughts. Show all posts

Monday, February 2, 2009

Forecast

School Delay Warning
School Closing Advisory, you could almost bank on a closing if the snow around the area moves in.

For Western Baltimore EAST

Columbia: 1-3''
BWI: 0.75-2.5''
Baltimore Inner Harbor: 1.5-3.5''
Dundalk: 2-4''
Parkville: 2-4''
Bel Air: 2-4''
Aberdeen: 2-4'' local 5''
Easton: 2-4'' local 5''
Perryville: 2.5-5'' local 6''

As you guys know, I hit the last storm right on the money, and expect nothing less this time. I may update about 00z GFS and radars.

Sunday, February 1, 2009

Let's Get this Straightened out

Obviously, anyone who wants to say the ECMW is king, is a model hugger, it did trend west last night giving our area a 4'' snowfall. I am staying put with the possibility for a big snowfall. The 12z models are east with the storm, and there is a thought the storm is over. NOOOOOOO!!!!! Not even close, the setup is nearly perect for a nice snowstorm for the east coast I-95 corridor. My forecast only has a 10% chance of verifying, but AccuWeather is with me on this. I think the models are having trouble picking up the secondary, which I think will form along the jet, giving us the nice snows. It seems that HM from AccuWx thinks that is the problem also. Stay tuned, this is nowhere near close to being nailed down.